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Bot evals (XGR bug)

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:22 p.m.

In Response To: Two positions (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Behind Door #1:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 59 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aBCCCB-------AAbcbdc-:1:1:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in 3-ply	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.754% (G:3.774% B:0.016%)	75.754% (G:3.774% B:0.016%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.246% (G:11.936% B:0.041%)	24.246% (G:11.936% B:0.041%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4332	+0.8664
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6402 (-0.0812)
Redouble/Take:	+0.7214
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2786)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Analyzed in 4-ply	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.923% (G:3.864% B:0.160%)	74.923% (G:3.864% B:0.160%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.077% (G:11.653% B:0.021%)	25.077% (G:11.653% B:0.021%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4220	+0.8439
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6288 (-0.0689)
Redouble/Take:	+0.6977
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.3023)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Analyzed in XG Roller	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	76.663% (G:3.986% B:0.058%)	75.762% (G:4.179% B:0.203%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.337% (G:11.986% B:0.043%)	24.238% (G:11.903% B:0.026%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4534	+0.8795
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6623 (-0.1137)
Redouble/Take:	+0.7761
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2239)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Analyzed in XG Roller+	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.074% (G:3.941% B:0.140%)	74.454% (G:4.618% B:0.060%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.926% (G:11.169% B:0.018%)	25.546% (G:12.377% B:0.021%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4304	+0.8238
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6546 (-0.0744)
Redouble/Take:	+0.7290
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2710)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.967% (G:4.362% B:0.085%)	76.346% (G:4.999% B:0.176%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.033% (G:11.413% B:0.031%)	23.654% (G:11.107% B:0.031%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4494	+0.9346
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6916 (-0.1466)
Redouble/Take:	+0.8382
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.1618)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Behind Door #2:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 46 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aBCCCB--------AA-ddf-:2:1:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in 3-ply	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	79.765% (G:4.347% B:0.060%)	79.765% (G:4.347% B:0.060%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	20.235% (G:8.997% B:0.003%)	20.235% (G:8.997% B:0.003%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5494	+1.0987
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7572 (-0.2171)
Redouble/Take:	+0.9742
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.0258)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Analyzed in 4-ply	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	79.847% (G:4.612% B:0.099%)	79.847% (G:4.612% B:0.099%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	20.153% (G:7.917% B:0.010%)	20.153% (G:7.917% B:0.010%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5648	+1.1295
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7618 (-0.2382)
Redouble/Take:	+1.0260 (+0.0260)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass

Analyzed in XG Roller	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.782% (G:3.995% B:0.083%)	75.104% (G:4.514% B:0.121%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.218% (G:13.866% B:0.024%)	24.896% (G:12.982% B:0.023%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.3775	+0.8368
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.5543 (-0.1743)
Redouble/Take:	+0.7285
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2715)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

Analyzed in XG Roller+	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	78.289% (G:4.814% B:0.087%)	70.914% (G:4.484% B:0.077%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	21.711% (G:10.451% B:0.014%)	29.086% (G:17.726% B:0.025%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5101	+0.5727
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.6910
Redouble/Take:	+0.4059 (-0.2851)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.3090)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 32.4%

Analyzed in XG Roller++	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	78.232% (G:4.803% B:0.084%)	73.647% (G:4.704% B:0.125%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	21.768% (G:10.227% B:0.011%)	26.353% (G:15.201% B:0.029%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5111	+0.7378
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7163
Redouble/Take:	+0.6117 (-0.1046)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2837)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 21.2%

Messages In This Thread

• Two positions
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 8:44 a.m.
  • Two positions
    Snua -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 12:34 p.m.
  • Two positions
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 2:36 p.m.
    • Two positions
      Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 5:41 p.m.
  • Bot evals (XGR bug)
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:22 p.m.
    • Bot evals (XGR bug)
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:26 p.m.
      • Bot evals (XGR bug)
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:45 p.m.
      • Bot evals (XGR bug)
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 3:43 a.m.
        • Bot evals (XGR bug)
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:42 a.m.
          • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
            eXtreme Gammon -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 1:32 p.m.
            • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 9:31 p.m.
              • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 9:51 p.m.
  • Rollouts
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:44 a.m.