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Rollouts

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:44 a.m.

In Response To: Two positions (Matt Cohn-Geier)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 59 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 141 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aBCCCB-------AAbcbdc-:1:1:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.278% (G:4.686% B:0.144%)	77.149% (G:5.683% B:0.130%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.722% (G:9.908% B:0.015%)	22.851% (G:10.500% B:0.024%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.4546	+0.9917
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7412 (-0.1991)	±0.0145 (+0.7266..+0.7557)
Redouble/Take:	+0.9403	±0.0266 (+0.9137..+0.9669)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.0597)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
387 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 54 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 46 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aBCCCB--------AA-ddf-:2:1:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	78.370% (G:5.059% B:0.089%)	80.934% (G:5.329% B:0.130%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	21.630% (G:9.081% B:0.014%)	19.066% (G:9.505% B:0.009%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5279	+1.1563
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7554 (-0.2446)	±0.0143 (+0.7411..+0.7697)
Redouble/Take:	+1.0820 (+0.0820)	±0.0413 (+1.0407..+1.1233)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 7 hours 28 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Messages In This Thread

• Two positions
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 8:44 a.m.
  • Two positions
    Snua -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 12:34 p.m.
  • Two positions
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 2:36 p.m.
    • Two positions
      Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 5:41 p.m.
  • Bot evals (XGR bug)
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:22 p.m.
    • Bot evals (XGR bug)
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:26 p.m.
      • Bot evals (XGR bug)
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:45 p.m.
      • Bot evals (XGR bug)
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 3:43 a.m.
        • Bot evals (XGR bug)
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:42 a.m.
          • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
            eXtreme Gammon -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 1:32 p.m.
            • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 9:31 p.m.
              • Bot evals (XGR bug: no, but surely need to be improved)
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 9:51 p.m.
  • Rollouts
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:44 a.m.