Thanks for the responses. I did recognize that having a stripped 5pt would blot on 65 and 54, but against this was the fact that 6/3 6/2 blots on 63 64 65. But I hadn't really thought about the extra gammons that 6/3 6/2 would win. Still looks like a difficult tradeoff to assess OTB, but at least I'm alert to more of the relevant issues now.
       
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 126 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 70
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-dBBCBDB-------------dbcb-:1:-1:1:43:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/3 6/2 | eq: +1.476 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.51% (G:53.46% B:4.74%)
4.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (+1.468...+1.484)
Duration: 9 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/4 7/3 | eq: +1.451 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.64% (G:50.99% B:4.49%)
4.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.007 (+1.444...+1.458)
Duration: 8 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| |
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 126 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 71
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-dBBBCDB-------------dbcb-:1:-1:1:43:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/4 7/3 | eq: +1.482 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 96.05% (G:52.71% B:5.03%)
3.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.006 (+1.476...+1.488)
Duration: 19 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/3 6/2 | eq: +1.468 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.32% (G:53.58% B:4.38%)
4.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+1.463...+1.473)
Duration: 17 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21