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Rollout Results: Checker Play and Cube Action

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 29 December 2011, at 3:28 a.m.

In Response To: Tough 32, Many Legal Plays (Paul Weaver)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-D---bC---dbdb---B-:0:0:1:23:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 23

1.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: -0.673
Player:
Opponent:		34.55% (G:7.74% B:0.29%)
65.45% (G:21.94% B:2.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.683...-0.662) - [100.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 18 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 8/5eq: -0.709 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		32.25% (G:7.91% B:0.25%)
67.75% (G:18.43% B:1.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.718...-0.699) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 38 seconds
3.Rollout18/5 6/4eq: -0.722 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		32.58% (G:7.53% B:0.27%)
67.42% (G:19.91% B:1.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.731...-0.712) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 47 seconds
4.Rollout213/11 6/3eq: -0.759 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		32.72% (G:7.26% B:0.28%)
67.28% (G:21.99% B:1.99%)		Conf.: ± 0.043 (-0.802...-0.716) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds
5.Rollout224/21 13/11eq: -0.770 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:		32.91% (G:7.69% B:0.31%)
67.09% (G:23.98% B:1.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.032 (-0.802...-0.737) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 37 seconds
6.Rollout224/22 8/5eq: -0.785 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		32.16% (G:7.39% B:0.31%)
67.84% (G:23.06% B:0.80%)		Conf.: ± 0.031 (-0.816...-0.754) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
7.Rollout224/21 8/6eq: -0.823 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		31.50% (G:7.52% B:0.24%)
68.50% (G:22.66% B:0.93%)		Conf.: ± 0.031 (-0.855...-0.792) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds
8.Rollout124/22 24/21eq: -0.850 (-0.177)
Player:
Opponent:		32.23% (G:6.92% B:0.31%)
67.77% (G:25.62% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.860...-0.841) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42 minutes 21 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 148
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 130
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b---BDBD---bB-a-d-cba--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.05% (G:20.58% B:1.78%) 65.42% (G:22.21% B:2.24%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.95% (G:7.67% B:0.30%) 34.58% (G:7.75% B:0.30%)
Cubeless Equities +0.465 +0.945
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.673 (0.000)±0.003 (+0.669..+0.676)
Double/Take:+0.673±0.005 (+0.668..+0.678)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.327)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:51.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 27 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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