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BGonline.org Forums
OLM Fr 12/30/11
Posted By: Taper_Mike In Response To: OLM Fr 12/30/11 (Jason Lee)
Date: Saturday, 31 December 2011, at 1:47 a.m.
Wow! Looks like XG got slammed with a bunch of 1s and 5s. With this great roll, I don’t want to play up to 19pt. XG has too much ammo trained there. Let’s enter on the 21pt, hitting, and just stay put.
After that, moving 8/6 seems like the safest play. From the bar, XG can hit with any 7, as well as a 1, 2 or 5 in combination with a 3. That’s 12 shots in all, not counting the many loose hits XG may try on its side of the board.
The only alternative I see is the risky slot of the 5pt. XG could hit with any 5, plus 1 or 2 in combination with a 2. That makes 18 shots total, again ignoring the loose hits opposite.
XG is going to attack with all its might. Putting a blot in direct range on the 5pt gives XG the chance to hit twice, and that’s a chance we cannot afford.
My vote: bar/21*, 8/6
Mike
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