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What and why? - Rollout

Posted By: Mislav Kovacic
Date: Sunday, 1 January 2012, at 9:16 p.m.

In Response To: What and why? (Mislav Kovacic)

I don't really get it. I would prefer to have both anchors if hit. And the gain in outfield control doesn't look so huge to me to break the long-term asset such as 18pt.
At least I wasn't the only one who got it wrong.






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
7 point match
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBAC--A---B-c-bBfc-B---:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout118/16 18/13eq: -0.222
Player:
Opponent:
46.57% (G:9.33% B:0.39%)
53.43% (G:19.53% B:0.96%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.236...-0.207) - [100.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 25 seconds
2.Rollout118/11eq: -0.259 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
46.29% (G:9.37% B:0.42%)
53.71% (G:22.60% B:1.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.274...-0.245) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout113/11 9/4eq: -0.322 (-0.100)
Player:
Opponent:
43.72% (G:8.73% B:0.31%)
56.28% (G:19.02% B:0.96%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.335...-0.309) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 21 seconds
4.Rollout113/11 13/8eq: -0.355 (-0.133)
Player:
Opponent:
43.59% (G:8.17% B:0.27%)
56.41% (G:20.04% B:0.93%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.369...-0.341) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 04 seconds
5.XG Roller+18/13 5/3eq: -0.409 (-0.187)
Player:
Opponent:
40.06% (G:7.27% B:0.20%)
59.94% (G:14.68% B:0.53%)
6.XG Roller+13/6eq: -0.422 (-0.200)
Player:
Opponent:
41.21% (G:7.66% B:0.21%)
58.79% (G:17.84% B:0.68%)
7.XG Roller+13/8 5/3eq: -0.437 (-0.215)
Player:
Opponent:
39.76% (G:7.17% B:0.19%)
60.24% (G:14.97% B:0.56%)
8.XG Roller+13/8 9/7eq: -0.457 (-0.235)
Player:
Opponent:
42.20% (G:7.32% B:0.25%)
57.80% (G:22.98% B:1.07%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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