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OLM Mo 01/02/12

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 2 January 2012, at 11:10 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Mo 01/02/12 (Jason Lee)

My first inclination is to cash! This looks like an easy pass even AtS, but on our side, we still have a lot of work to do.

There are 12 POH rolls: 11 33 44 66 13 16 36 53. All but 11, and perhaps 33, leave White a 30% chance to make an anchor on the first try. In many variations after White anchors, we will have “regained our market.”

In case we cannot POH, there are many outside hitting plays: 41 42 43 45 46 62 65 66 51. Several of these offer the choice of hitting twice: 41 42 43 45.

Three rolls hit twice inside: 12 32 62 (although 62 was mentioned above as a roll that hits outside).

After counting these up, it’s pretty obvious my first impression was wrong. We’re way too good! A human opponent would be in such a hurry to pass, he might fall on the floor in the process.

My vote: No double (too good).

Mike

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