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NY Metro position - what play and why - RO

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Monday, 9 January 2012, at 1:50 p.m.

In Response To: NY Metro position - what play and why (eXtreme Gammon)

Thanks the answers. Here is the RO.
I find intresting that a non hitting play is so high. I did not like the move played 6/5(2) 3/2*, but i am surprised by how much it is an error (and that my OTB play first idea 5/2*/1 is even worse)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 95
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 45
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBCB------------bcbbAdA:1:1:-1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout13/2*(2) 1/Off(2)eq: +1.057
Player:
Opponent:
85.44% (G:39.24% B:1.55%)
14.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.056...+1.059) - [98.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout15/4 3/2*(2) 1/Offeq: +1.055 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
86.79% (G:36.06% B:1.02%)
13.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.054...+1.056) - [2.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 35 seconds
3.Rollout25/3 1/Off(2)eq: +1.046 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
88.72% (G:30.80% B:1.01%)
11.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.044...+1.048) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout34/2*(2) eq: +0.960 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:
84.88% (G:30.64% B:0.60%)
15.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.958...+0.962) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 24 seconds
5.Rollout36/5 6/4 1/Offeq: +0.943 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:
88.94% (G:20.50% B:0.52%)
11.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.940...+0.947) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
6.Rollout36/5 6/3eq: +0.922 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:
89.80% (G:16.52% B:0.26%)
10.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.919...+0.925) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds
7.Rollout36/5(2) 1/Off(2)eq: +0.900 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:
86.29% (G:22.41% B:0.75%)
13.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.896...+0.904) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 17 seconds
8.Rollout36/5(2) 3/2*(2) eq: +0.874 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:
85.49% (G:21.60% B:0.35%)
14.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.872...+0.877) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 47 seconds
9.Rollout35/2* 2/1eq: +0.868 (-0.189)
Player:
Opponent:
82.80% (G:27.03% B:0.44%)
17.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.865...+0.871) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 34 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44657072
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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