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Position with rollout

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Friday, 14 September 2007, at 7:57 p.m.

I just have this rollout to share with you. Here I miss to split on time while white has no board.

The score (after 5 games) is: White 0, Blue 9 (match to 11 points)

Move number 13: Blue to play 52

White	136
Blue	149
Position ID: 4LuDAwjYdsgBMA Match ID: UYlqAQAASAAA

• Blue moves 11/6 7/5

Alert: bad move ( -0,040)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/22 11/6	-0,2424
			44,76% 16,39% 1,26% - 55,24% 10,43% 0,43% -0,2424 -0,2424 0,17% 0,65% 0,21% - 0,17% 0,16% 0,04% 0,0039 0,0039
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1244 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070433907 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	24/22 13/8	-0,2754 ( -0,0330)
			44,71% 15,64% 2,24% - 55,29% 12,72% 0,61% -0,2754 -0,2754 0,27% 0,74% 0,47% - 0,27% 0,17% 0,06% 0,0058 0,0058
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1244 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070433907 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/6	-0,2812 ( -0,0388)
			43,44% 17,69% 1,38% - 56,56% 11,37% 0,47% -0,2812 -0,2812 0,18% 0,65% 0,21% - 0,18% 0,19% 0,05% 0,0042 0,0042
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1245 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070433907 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	R	11/6 7/5	-0,2821 ( -0,0397)
			43,03% 17,61% 1,68% - 56,97% 10,74% 0,49% -0,2821 -0,2821 0,18% 0,62% 0,25% - 0,18% 0,17% 0,06% 0,0041 0,0041
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1245 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070433907 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

After 11/6 I have to split. White has 11 checkers into zone but have only one point board while I have three point board and four prime. He is not so happy to hit loose.
I have to split and go for advanced anchor or to escape with one checkers at least. Race is equal. If stay back white can freely bring more builders from mid and improve his blockade.