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OLM Tu 01/10/12 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 14 January 2012, at 12:31 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Tu 01/10/12 (Jason Lee)





White is XG Roller++

score: 0
pip: 148
15 point match
pip: 130
score: 5

Blue is BGO Readers
XGID=-aBdBCC----B------aAcbBbb-:1:1:1:00:5:0:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 83.74% (G:49.48% B:2.54%) 83.48% (G:49.99% B:3.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 16.26% (G:2.59% B:0.08%) 16.52% (G:2.63% B:0.14%)
Cubeless Equities +1.137 +1.896
Cubeful Equities
* No redouble:+1.203±0.003 (+1.199..+1.206)
Redouble/Take:+1.602 (+0.400)±0.006 (+1.597..+1.608)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.203)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 33.6%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5648938
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 39 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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