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65R-62S-33D-63R-54D-42S-C-52P-51S-63R-21

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 4:39 a.m.

In Response To: Hit...but what about the deuce? (Michael Depreli)


2O ' '2X '4X2X4X ' ' '2O

 ' ' ' ' '5O '4O '1X2O2X

65R-62S-33D-63R-54D-42S-C-52P-51S-63R-21


This position looks like it could be reached in fewer rolls, but I guess not.

Clearly the ace hits. With the deuce, 13/11 leaves too easy a return shot without clear compensation, and 24/22 is too risky. OTOH, stacking with 10/8 or 8/6 is clearly too conservative. That leaves only two plays worth serious contemplation.

On autopilot, I'm sure I'd play h (hit, 11/10* 11/9), but you are posting the position for a reason. The more I look at it the more I like N (Near, 11/10* 6/4). I especially like N at dmp. Conjuring an extra checker into play makes it easier to win. (Note that immediate rolls of 62 and 53 are embarrassing for White.)

Nack

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