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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 20 January 2012, at 2:23 a.m.

In Response To: 3a3a recube (neilkaz)

OTB while watching this, I basically agreed with the cube, but not in my lifetime could I have felt that White didn't have the needed 25% to take. Was shocked when White passed.

		White is Stepan Nuniyants score: 10 pip: 133 13 point match pip: 89 score: 10 Blue is Justin Nunez
XGID=---DBBB-a----A-b-bBbcBabb-:1:-1:-1:00:10:10:0:13:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67.711% (G:20.073% B:0.503%)	67.311% (G:22.917% B:0.192%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.289% (G:5.033% B:0.321%)	32.689% (G:4.539% B:0.227%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5037	+0.6903
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.7362	±0.0022 (+0.7340..+0.7385)
Redouble/Take:	+0.6903 (-0.0459)	±0.0028 (+0.6875..+0.6931)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.2638)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.9%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67389374 Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 3a3a recube
  neilkaz -- Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 3:56 a.m.
  • 3a3a recube
    Stick -- Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 9:09 a.m.
    • 3a3a recube
      Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 12:00 p.m.
  • 3a3a recube
    Bill Riles -- Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 2:36 p.m.
  • 3a3a recube
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 19 January 2012, at 4:07 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Friday, 20 January 2012, at 2:23 a.m.
    • OTB and RO
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 21 January 2012, at 1:54 a.m.