I have to post the RO result early bec. I will go for a holiday 1 hour later .
1. | Rollout1 | 20/15(2) 6/1*(2) | eq: +0,286 |
| Player: Opponent: | 57,03% (G:14,46% B:0,29%) 42,97% (G:10,35% B:0,41%) | Conf.: ± 0,016 (+0,270...+0,303) - [100,0%] Duration: 21 minutes 59 seconds |
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2. | Rollout2 | 20/10(2) | eq: +0,223 (-0,063) |
| Player: Opponent: | 55,34% (G:14,27% B:0,61%) 44,66% (G:10,48% B:0,36%) | Conf.: ± 0,016 (+0,208...+0,239) - [0,0%] Duration: 23 minutes 52 seconds |
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3. | XG Roller++ | 21/16 13/8 6/1*(2) | eq: +0,231 (-0,055) |
| Player: Opponent: | 55,08% (G:13,82% B:0,22%) 44,92% (G:8,15% B:0,28%) | |
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4. | XG Roller++ | 21/11 6/1*(2) | eq: +0,231 (-0,056) |
| Player: Opponent: | 54,89% (G:13,98% B:0,23%) 45,11% (G:8,05% B:0,29%) | |
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5. | XG Roller++ | 21/11 20/15(2) | eq: +0,214 (-0,072) |
| Player: Opponent: | 56,16% (G:11,50% B:0,38%) 43,84% (G:9,87% B:0,33%) | |
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6. | XG Roller++ | 8/3(2) 6/1*(2) | eq: +0,179 (-0,107) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52,68% (G:16,51% B:0,27%) 47,32% (G:9,57% B:0,32%) | |
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1 1308 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99415586 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
2 1306 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99415586 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
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thanks for analysis. You found the best play :)
Trice prefer to play 20-10(2) bec. of avoiding the 'premature burial' checkers. Whereas XG doent agree and sometimes we should prematurely bury checkers when our 6pt is too heavy. Blitzing is a big error since opp has our 5pt and we have 3 back checkers.