It's thematic to clear the midpoint against a bar-point holding game but I though it was mandatory to clear the 15pt first. Obviously I was wrong.
           
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 6
pip: 143 | | 13 point match | pip: 140
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a--BDbC---cD-B-a-bbca---:0:0:1:44:4:6:0:13:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/9(4) | eq: +0.641 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.86% (G:7.19% B:0.13%)
32.14% (G:2.77% B:0.07%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 15/11(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.633 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.82% (G:6.87% B:0.16%)
32.18% (G:3.13% B:0.07%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 8/4(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.561 (-0.080) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.50% (G:18.89% B:0.51%)
38.50% (G:9.39% B:0.32%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 13/9(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.561 (-0.080) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.79% (G:13.35% B:0.47%)
36.21% (G:7.14% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 15/11(2) 13/5 | eq: +0.504 (-0.136) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.55% (G:6.91% B:0.16%)
35.45% (G:4.04% B:0.10%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 15/11(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.475 (-0.165) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.90% (G:9.77% B:0.33%)
37.10% (G:6.20% B:0.16%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
  
   
| | White is Player 2
score: 6
pip: 161 | | 13 point match | pip: 143
score: 6
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aaBBB-B-----dE---d-cb---B-:0:0:1:00:6:6:0:13:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller+ |
| Player Winning Chances: | 60.69% (G: 29.01% B: 1.02%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 39.31% (G: 9.65% B: 0.52%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Double: | +0.417 |
| Double: | +0.851 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Double: | +0.589 |
| Double/Take: | +0.559 (-0.031) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 (+0.411) |
| |
| Best Cube action: No Double / Take |
| |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 144 | | 13 point match | pip: 149
score: 9
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---BB-D---b-dE---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:21:9:7:0:13:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 13/11 | eq: -0.156 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.63% (G:11.97% B:0.31%)
55.37% (G:8.90% B:0.35%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 6/5 | eq: -0.158 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.82% (G:13.38% B:0.35%)
55.18% (G:10.27% B:0.42%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 22/20 6/5 | eq: -0.187 (-0.031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.10% (G:11.99% B:0.29%)
55.90% (G:9.56% B:0.34%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 6/4 | eq: -0.201 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.74% (G:10.65% B:0.23%)
56.26% (G:8.94% B:0.32%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 24/22 6/5 | eq: -0.225 (-0.069) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.40% (G:7.47% B:0.13%)
57.60% (G:5.24% B:0.18%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Variant (note that 24/22 fares better here):
| | White is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 144 | | 13 point match | pip: 145
score: 9
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-B--B-D---b-dE---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:21:9:7:0:13:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 6/5 | eq: -0.223 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.06% (G:12.46% B:0.23%)
56.94% (G:10.74% B:0.49%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 13/11 | eq: -0.229 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.09% (G:11.86% B:0.25%)
56.91% (G:10.13% B:0.43%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 24/22 6/5 | eq: -0.234 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.43% (G:7.46% B:0.10%)
57.57% (G:5.86% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 22/21 6/4 | eq: -0.246 (-0.023) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.93% (G:10.39% B:0.16%)
57.07% (G:9.72% B:0.38%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 22/20 6/5 | eq: -0.257 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.55% (G:10.34% B:0.17%)
57.45% (G:9.75% B:0.37%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross