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Alternative(s) to XGR++ for cube decisions

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Monday, 23 January 2012, at 8:16 a.m.

In Response To: Alternative(s) to XGR++ for cube decisions (Chuck Bower)

I don't have the answer to this but I'd sure like to see something that didn't regularly spill out whoppers like this in match play.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 160
7 point match
pip: 59
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABBBBA-----------cdBecBA:0:0:-1:00:1:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.96% (G:47.75% B:8.64%) 66.17% (G:46.29% B:25.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.04% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) 33.83% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.043 +1.443
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.973 (-0.027)
Double/Take:+1.025 (+0.025)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 160
7 point match
pip: 59
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABBBBA-----------cdBecBA:0:0:-1:00:1:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.06% (G:47.33% B:14.97%) 66.17% (G:46.29% B:25.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.94% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) 33.83% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +1.115 +1.443
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9000.010 (+0.890..+0.910)
Double/Take:+0.868 (-0.032)0.014 (+0.853..+0.882)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.100)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.7%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 52 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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