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Another one of those Bot moves QF problems....

Posted By: higonefive
Date: Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:17 p.m.

In Response To: Another one of those Bot moves QF problems.... (Michael Depreli)

Grunch!

You have to respect the white board. We just can't hit. After moving, we are leading 4 pips. Even race. That is a lot of equity. No need to push before the flop. Is there more equity to squeeze? Slotting the 4 is just a race move. If White can't secure his straggler, hitting is then even more a nono. By now, we have 9 checkers in the zone. If we play 11/6 5/1, we have 12 checkers in the zone and more hit and covers, if white has to stay. Sure, on the ace point, the checker isn't anymore a member of a nice position, but i would shift for the better zone. If you count the numbers, which will leave the orphan as a target, you will come up with a surprising bunch of 13 numbers, to see a nice flop. So the combination of the returnshot danger and the high probability of a shot next turn will lead away from the automatic OtB plays. Perhaps we will have a nice raise on the river.

11/6 5/1.

P.S.: If you have not analyzed the probability securing an outfield blot or the concept of the zone and shifting plays, this move is difficult to find in reasonable time OtB. After all, it is not a strange bot move for me anymore.

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