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Early blitz cube action --- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:36 p.m.

In Response To: Early blitz cube action (neilkaz)

Rollout of posted position and of variant with split back checkers (mentioned by Michael Depreli is his reply).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 192
11 point match
pip: 165
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-aaBCAB---dDA--c-d----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,01% (G:30,51% B:3,17%) 66,49% (G:31,77% B:3,53%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,99% (G:6,42% B:0,34%) 33,51% (G:6,85% B:0,40%)
Cubeless Equities +0,615 +1,257
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,862 (-0,112)0,008 (+0,854..+0,870)
Double/Take:+0,9740,012 (+0,961..+0,986)
Double/Pass:+1,000 (+0,026)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 2 hours 33 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 192
11 point match
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-aaBCAB---dDA--c-d---AA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,31% (G:31,33% B:3,27%) 67,07% (G:32,14% B:3,59%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,69% (G:6,21% B:0,31%) 32,93% (G:6,49% B:0,39%)
Cubeless Equities +0,633 +1,297
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0,879 (-0,121)0,008 (+0,871..+0,887)
Double/Take:+1,021 (+0,021)0,013 (+1,008..+1,033)
Double/Pass:+1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 13579
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:99,9%
Duration: 2 hours 36 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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