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Early blitz cube action --- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:36 p.m.

In Response To: Early blitz cube action (neilkaz)

Rollout of posted position and of variant with split back checkers (mentioned by Michael Depreli is his reply).

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 192 11 point match pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-aaBCAB---dDA--c-d----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67,01% (G:30,51% B:3,17%)	66,49% (G:31,77% B:3,53%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32,99% (G:6,42% B:0,34%)	33,51% (G:6,85% B:0,40%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,615	+1,257
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,862 (-0,112)	±0,008 (+0,854..+0,870)
Double/Take:	+0,974	±0,012 (+0,961..+0,986)
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,026)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100,0%
Take Decision confidence:		100,0%
Duration: 2 hours 33 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 192 11 point match pip: 164 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-aaBCAB---dDA--c-d---AA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	67,31% (G:31,33% B:3,27%)	67,07% (G:32,14% B:3,59%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32,69% (G:6,21% B:0,31%)	32,93% (G:6,49% B:0,39%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,633	+1,297
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,879 (-0,121)	±0,008 (+0,871..+0,887)
Double/Take:	+1,021 (+0,021)	±0,013 (+1,008..+1,033)
Double/Pass:	+1,000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100,0%
Take Decision confidence:		99,9%
Duration: 2 hours 36 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Early blitz cube action
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 4:49 a.m.
  • Early blitz cube action
    lenny -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 6:15 a.m.
  • Early blitz cube action
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 10:47 a.m.
    • Early blitz cube action
      Michael Depreli -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 11:51 a.m.
  • Early blitz cube action
    kruidenbuiltje -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 11:10 a.m.
  • Early blitz cube action
    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 5:54 p.m.
  • 21$-31H-61H-65R-61U-51h-33U-11M-F-C
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 22 January 2012, at 7:35 p.m.
    • Thoughts while commenting
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 6:37 p.m.
  • Early blitz cube action --- ROLLOUTS
    Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:36 p.m.