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42P-43D-64R-52, rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 7:08 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout (Timothy Chow)

What surprises me most is how little the equity difference between K and P seems to change from one variant to the next, even though the absolute equities change a lot.

For (xxP)-43D-64R-52K, the .460 absolute equity range of K (.140, -.011, -.113, -.220, -.320) can be explained by the leaving of four blots (1pt, 9pt, 10pt and 11pt). For reference, though, the XGR++ evals of (xxP)-51S-41K are -.146, -.319, -.394, -.470, -.559; there is only one near-side blot and the range is still as wide as .313.

From that reference comparison, if you can reconcile the .460 range of K as reasonable/believable, what remains is a bit simpler: you are evidently surprised that the P equities change as much as they do (for a spread of .429, almost keeping pace with K's .460). That is not intended as a full explanation but perhaps it will help.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• What would you play? and why :)
  Christian Sorensen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:18 a.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 11:24 a.m.
    • What would you play? and why :)
      Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 1:35 p.m.
      • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
        Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:38 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:44 p.m.
          • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
            Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:16 p.m.
            • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
              Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:26 p.m.
              • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                Sebastiaan kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:50 p.m.
                • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                  Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 8:33 p.m.
                  • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
                    Gregg Cattanach -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 2:08 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:45 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 5:30 p.m.
          • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
            Dmitriy Obukhov -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:05 p.m.
            • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
              Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 10:12 p.m.
        • Perhaps You Should Consider Parcheesi
          higonefive -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 6:10 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Michael Depreli -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 12:51 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 4:38 p.m.
  • 43D 64R 52?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 7:01 p.m.
    • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 4:49 a.m.
      • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
        Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:56 a.m.
        • xxP-43D-64R-52, four positions
          Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:57 a.m.
      • 64P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:01 p.m.
      • 53P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:41 p.m.
      • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 11:42 p.m.
        • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 1:56 a.m.
          • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
            Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 7:08 a.m.
          • 42P-43D-64R-52, rollout
            Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 7:11 a.m.
      • 31P-43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 5:05 a.m.
      • ( xxP)-43D-64R-52, summary of five positions
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 26 January 2012, at 6:04 a.m.
    • 43D 64R 52?
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 4:54 a.m.
      • 43D-64R-52, rollout
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 6:28 p.m.
  • What would you play? and why :)
    Turz -- Wednesday, 25 January 2012, at 10:13 a.m.