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XG and a D/T?

Posted By: steve
Date: Friday, 3 February 2012, at 3:27 a.m.

I couldn't understand a take in this position. According to XG this was huge take until I did a ++ then 3ply analysis & even then showed it to be a slight D/T. After running it thru GNU I see now it's a huge D/P. I'd like to hear from others, who understand this game a lot better I, how XG could consider this a D/T.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 98
7 point match
pip: 110
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=-AaCD-BaB-B-a-a----bcbbbA-:0:0:-1:D:0:2:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.73% (G:17.58% B:0.45%) 75.93% (G:18.25% B:0.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.27% (G:7.11% B:0.38%) 24.07% (G:7.86% B:0.46%)
Cubeless Equities +0.610 +1.211
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.779 (-0.199)±0.008 (+0.770..+0.787)
Double/Take:+0.978±0.013 (+0.965..+0.991)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.022)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 22 minutes 37 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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