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So you think you know what you're doing?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 9 February 2012, at 10:46 p.m.

This topic came up in a recent lesson I was giving. Assume that you know the rollout information by heart, what do you play OtB and why? List all relevant factors. Good luck and may the odds be ever in your favor.

		White is Player 2 score: 3 pip: 167 5 point match Crawford pip: 167 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:43:4:3:1:5:10
Blue to play 43

1.	Book1	24/21 13/9	eq: -0.283
	Player: Opponent: 49.35% (G:16.83% B:2.58%) 50.65% (G:13.49% B:1.32%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.285...-0.281) - [99.3%]
2.	Book1	24/20 13/10	eq: -0.286 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 49.13% (G:16.46% B:2.45%) 50.87% (G:13.45% B:1.37%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.288...-0.284) - [0.6%]
3.	Book1	24/21 24/20	eq: -0.288 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 49.37% (G:15.67% B:2.32%) 50.63% (G:13.79% B:1.12%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.290...-0.286) - [0.0%]
4.	Book1	13/10 13/9	eq: -0.292 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 49.27% (G:18.11% B:2.83%) 50.73% (G:13.89% B:1.91%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.295...-0.290) - [0.0%]
1 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 2/26/2011 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34567 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

Messages In This Thread

• So you think you know what you're doing?
  Stick -- Thursday, 9 February 2012, at 10:46 p.m.
  • So you think you know what you're doing?
    christian munk-christensen -- Thursday, 9 February 2012, at 10:50 p.m.
  • So you think you know what you're doing?
    Turz -- Friday, 10 February 2012, at 12:39 p.m.
  • So you think you know what you're doing?
    David Rockwell -- Friday, 10 February 2012, at 4:05 p.m.
    • So you think you know what you're doing?
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 14 February 2012, at 5:47 p.m.
  • So you think you know what you're doing?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 15 February 2012, at 9:12 p.m.