Rollout Results Posted

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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 10 March 2012, at 7:20 p.m.

In Response To: I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong (Paul Weaver)

I am posting the rollout results of seven positions, which may or may not be somewhat related to the original.
65R-31P-32T-62 White has four on her 8pt. Splitting to the 18pt is riskier here than in the next position (31P-65R-62), where White has only three on her 8pt.

White is shimohei

score: 0
pip: 151

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is peever

XGID=-a---BD-B---eE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq: +0.060
Player:
Opponent: 50.89% (G:16.18% B:0.54%)
49.11% (G:13.14% B:0.83%) Conf.: ą 0.006 (+0.054...+0.065) - [99.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 34 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/11 eq: +0.049 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 50.96% (G:13.33% B:0.47%)
49.04% (G:12.09% B:0.49%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (+0.044...+0.054) - [0.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes
3. Rollout² 13/5 eq: +0.037 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent: 49.75% (G:15.29% B:0.41%)
50.25% (G:10.98% B:0.54%) Conf.: ą 0.010 (+0.026...+0.047) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 37 seconds

¹ 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2616 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

31P-65R-62

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BD-B---fE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/11 eq: +0.162
Player:
Opponent: 53.48% (G:14.15% B:0.51%)
46.52% (G:10.42% B:0.44%) Conf.: ą 0.010 (+0.152...+0.172) - [100.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 06 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq: +0.130 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent: 52.59% (G:16.84% B:0.54%)
47.41% (G:12.17% B:0.66%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (+0.118...+0.142) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 52 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/5 eq: +0.126 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent: 51.90% (G:16.44% B:0.42%)
48.10% (G:9.95% B:0.50%) Conf.: ą 0.009 (+0.117...+0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 15 seconds

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

31P-65R-62 at gammon go

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 156

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BD-B---fE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:62:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq: +0.418
Player:
Opponent: 52.57% (G:18.34% B:1.28%)
47.43% (G:15.91% B:1.86%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (+0.407...+0.429) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/5 eq: +0.392 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent: 51.24% (G:18.37% B:0.76%)
48.76% (G:12.28% B:1.53%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (+0.381...+0.403) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 44 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/11 eq: +0.383 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent: 53.06% (G:16.09% B:1.41%)
46.94% (G:13.94% B:1.78%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (+0.372...+0.394) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 26 seconds

¹ 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

31P-65R-64 at gammon go

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 156

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BD-B---fE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:64:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 64

1. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/7 eq: +0.409
Player:
Opponent: 51.77% (G:18.69% B:1.08%)
48.23% (G:15.07% B:2.50%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (+0.401...+0.417) - [98.8%]
Duration: 14 minutes 52 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/9 eq: +0.396 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent: 53.35% (G:16.47% B:1.12%)
46.65% (G:12.88% B:1.60%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (+0.389...+0.404) - [1.2%]
Duration: 15 minutes 28 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/7 eq: +0.375 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent: 51.31% (G:17.42% B:1.15%)
48.69% (G:14.33% B:1.82%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (+0.367...+0.382) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 43 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/2 eq: +0.363 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent: 49.77% (G:18.40% B:0.54%)
50.23% (G:12.31% B:1.48%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (+0.356...+0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 14 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

31P-65R-65 at gammon go

White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 156

2 point match
Crawford

pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BD-B---fE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:65:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 65

1. Rollout¹ 13/8 13/7 eq: +0.422
Player:
Opponent: 52.57% (G:18.54% B:1.24%)
47.43% (G:13.00% B:1.85%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (+0.415...+0.430) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 01 second
2. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/8 eq: +0.403 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 53.69% (G:16.48% B:1.01%)
46.31% (G:11.46% B:1.18%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (+0.396...+0.411) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 52 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/7 6/1* eq: +0.394 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent: 51.06% (G:18.63% B:0.70%)
48.94% (G:14.63% B:2.58%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (+0.386...+0.402) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 12 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 24/13 eq: +0.352 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent: 53.31% (G:14.27% B:0.88%)
46.69% (G:9.82% B:0.77%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (+0.345...+0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 27 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

65R-42P-41T-62 for money. Nack mentioned this position as a variation of the original.

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a--B-D-B---eE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 62

1. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/11 eq: +0.012
Player:
Opponent: 50.07% (G:13.50% B:0.48%)
49.93% (G:12.57% B:0.54%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (+0.008...+0.015) - [95.3%]
Duration: 2 hours 41 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq: +0.006 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent: 49.52% (G:16.02% B:0.52%)
50.48% (G:13.05% B:0.82%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (+0.001...+0.011) - [4.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 37 minutes

¹ 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

65R-31P-32

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-C---eF---b-db---A-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1. Rollout¹ 13/8 eq: -0.125
Player:
Opponent: 47.63% (G:11.01% B:0.55%)
52.37% (G:15.58% B:0.48%) Conf.: ą 0.010 (-0.135...-0.115) - [99.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/10 eq: -0.144 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 47.13% (G:11.99% B:0.56%)
52.87% (G:15.72% B:0.62%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (-0.155...-0.134) - [0.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02

Messages In This Thread

I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 8:43 p.m.
- 65R-31P-32?
  Stick -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 8:50 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  Joe Russell -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 9:07 p.m.
  - I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
    higonefive -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 11:12 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 9:07 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  higonefive -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 9:47 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 10:08 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 8 March 2012, at 10:18 p.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  Dmitriy Obukhov -- Friday, 9 March 2012, at 3:50 a.m.
- 65R-31P-32T-62
  Nack Ballard -- Friday, 9 March 2012, at 5:29 a.m.
  - 65R-31P-32T-62
    pontiac -- Friday, 9 March 2012, at 8:17 a.m.
  - 65R-31P-32T-62D-61 and 65R-31P-32T-63D-61
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 13 March 2012, at 2:06 a.m.
    - ROLLOUTS above *NM*
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 13 March 2012, at 2:07 a.m.
    - 65R-31P-32T-62D-61 and 65R-31P-32T-63D-61
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 14 March 2012, at 12:42 a.m.
- 65R-31P-41T-62 Rollout
  Stick -- Friday, 9 March 2012, at 9:23 a.m.
  - 65R-31P-41T-62, another rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 March 2012, at 3:49 p.m.
    - 3-digits versus 4-digits
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 12 March 2012, at 10:09 p.m.
      - 3-digits versus 4-digits
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 13 March 2012, at 2:30 a.m.
        
        3-digits versus 4-digits
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 13 March 2012, at 5:34 a.m.
- I Got This Fourth Roll 62 Wrong
  ah_clem -- Friday, 9 March 2012, at 5:06 p.m.
- Rollout Results Posted
  Paul Weaver -- Saturday, 10 March 2012, at 7:20 p.m.
  - 65R-31P-32 (another rollout result)
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 11 March 2012, at 4:17 p.m.
  - 65R-42P-32T-62, another rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 12 March 2012, at 10:31 p.m.

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