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My Late Game Blunder With 31

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 12 March 2012, at 2:45 p.m.

Silly me, I quickly played 13/11, minimizing shots and getting closer to home. XG, which believes it is smarter than I am, seriously disagrees, claiming my play is almost a whopper (-0.093). Can you figure it out? Would you have played 10/6 over the board?





White is Kim Kardashian

score: 5
pip: 127
9 point match
pip: 117
score: 6

Blue is peever
XGID=--B-BcC-B-C-bB-A--ac-c-ab-:0:0:1:31:6:5:0:9:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout110/6eq: +0.343
Player:
Opponent:
60.67% (G:6.45% B:0.47%)
39.33% (G:6.50% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.331...+0.354) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 08 seconds
2.Rollout16/2eq: +0.285 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
59.46% (G:6.22% B:0.28%)
40.54% (G:6.79% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.273...+0.298) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout16/3 4/3eq: +0.279 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
59.84% (G:8.62% B:0.51%)
40.16% (G:8.48% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.267...+0.290) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 15 seconds
4.Rollout115/11eq: +0.249 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:
59.53% (G:5.78% B:0.28%)
40.47% (G:8.10% B:0.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.237...+0.262) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.02, MET: Kazaross XG2

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