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Why best move?

Posted By: Dale Berlin
Date: Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:28 p.m.

Hi, I am new, and not sure I'm good enough to be posting in here, but here it goes. While analyzing a match today I came across this and couldn't believe it. Isn't this just asking for gammon? Can anyone explain why this is best move? Thank you.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 99
7 point match
pip: 117
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=-aBBB-CB----AA-b--bccBb-b-:0:0:1:53:4:0:0:7:10
to play 53

1.XG Roller13/5eq: +0.229
Player:
Opponent:
61.80% (G:9.58% B:0.24%)
38.20% (G:9.38% B:0.15%)
2.XG Roller13/10 12/7eq: +0.145 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:
59.04% (G:7.59% B:0.20%)
40.96% (G:4.99% B:0.06%)
3.3-ply13/8 12/9eq: +0.112 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:
58.42% (G:7.38% B:0.16%)
41.58% (G:6.36% B:0.10%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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