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Cube Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 30 March 2012, at 8:02 p.m.

In Response To: Rollouts (Casper van der Tak)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
4 point match
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BD-B--AdD---d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 63.33% (G:20.33% B:1.76%) 63.57% (G:20.52% B:2.64%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 36.67% (G:8.46% B:0.64%) 36.43% (G:8.98% B:0.80%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.451 +1.175
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.748±0.007 (+0.741..+0.755)
Double/Take:+0.731 (-0.017)±0.010 (+0.721..+0.740)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.252)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.0%
Rollout details
10909 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 82857735
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:99.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 23 minutes

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