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BGonline.org Forums
Nordic Open : Recube too 16 for Falafel ?
Posted By: mtuhtan In Response To: Nordic Open : Recube too 16 for Falafel ? (Carlo Melzi)
Date: Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 8:34 a.m.
1. 51 to play
bar/20 8/7* seems obvious
2. redouble to 8
I don't know how strong Mik is. This is no double, but it could be double if he is *much* weaker than Falafel so he sees this as his best chance to win the match.
Also, if his front checker was on 9pt instead of 10pt, so he can hit with 6's, 5's and 4's after entering - this should be stronger position and could be double if he is ~3 PR weaker than Falafel. If players are equally strong, this isn't double either.
3. 1st redouble to 16
Takepoint is the same as MWC trailing -11-3. Using Neils' Numbers this is around 10%. So it is easy take.
Is it a double? If Mik redoubled to 8 trying to shorten the match - I would wait with doubling. If this position was reached differently (no desperate doubles) and my opponent doesn't know how low his TP is - it might be a good double, expecting a pass.
4. 42 to play
Falafel's move, 9/7 8/4, leaves these good rolls for the opponent: 61, 62; 11; 21, 31, 41, 51, 61; 66
Hitting on 2pt, 6/2* 4/2, leaves these good rolls: 11; 61, 63; 43, 53; 31. And he has 16 fanning numbers.
I would hit.
5. 2nd redouble to 16
I would double this against equally strong opponent.
6. 3rd redouble to 16
I would double this against equally strong opponent.
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