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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: Early Game Sequence Positions (Stick)

The first position I thought 13/8 would fair better than it did but we're not even ahead in the race so I guess I'm not all that surprised.

In the second rollout it's disturbing that 8/4 is tied for best. I thought two down from the midpoint was clear. I didn't see moving either of the back checkers as a need as they're already split to a decent point.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a---aE-C---dF---c-d-b--A-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41
1.Rollout16/5* 5/1* eq: -0.292
Player:
Opponent:		43.79% (G:9.85% B:0.33%)
56.21% (G:17.85% B:0.67%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.299...-0.285) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
2.Rollout113/9 6/5* eq: -0.309 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:		43.83% (G:10.51% B:0.46%)
56.17% (G:19.72% B:1.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.317...-0.302) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes
3.Rollout213/8eq: -0.344 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:		42.73% (G:7.84% B:0.31%)
57.27% (G:17.27% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.358...-0.331) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 57 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8002603
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8002603
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 141
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----B-D-C--afD---c-dA-A-a-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42
1.Rollout113/9 13/11* eq: +0.641
Player:
Opponent:		62.98% (G:25.63% B:0.90%)
37.02% (G:8.27% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.636...+0.646) - [55.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 53 minutes
2.Rollout113/11* 8/4eq: +0.640 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		63.18% (G:25.16% B:0.76%)
36.82% (G:7.86% B:0.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.636...+0.645) - [43.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 44 minutes
3.Rollout120/16 13/11* eq: +0.633 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		64.51% (G:20.82% B:0.72%)
35.49% (G:7.52% B:0.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.628...+0.637) - [0.1%]
Duration: 3 hours 09 minutes
4.Rollout213/11* 11/7eq: +0.612 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		62.91% (G:23.02% B:0.73%)
37.09% (G:7.34% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.023 (+0.588...+0.635) - [0.5%]
Duration: 7 minutes 46 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75516413
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75516413
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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