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DK vs World, 7 positions from doubles match

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Saturday, 7 April 2012, at 4:51 p.m.

In Response To: DK vs World, 7 positions from doubles match (mtuhtan)

#1. Double is clear, but I think Blue still has a take.

#2. I Prefer going to 18pt rather than slot our own bar. Going to 7 doesn't solve Blue's problems if it works.

#3. Seems to me Blue is short of a redouble here. I usually wait till I have 4ch less off, or 5 less and still closed board, or speed board, or a blot in opponents home board or if I don't think my opponent takes, or I feel lucky, or I miscounted, or I am 30pts down in a chouette, or.... well there are many or's, but I don't think its a redouble.

#4. I would play 5/off and hope I won't get hit after my next roll. This seems better than clearing 4pt and giving him 9 more numbers to come in. 5/1 5/4 is just too slow.

#5. I rip 2 checkers and hope for best.

#6. Whites EPC 8*3.5+15=43 Blues EPC is 6*7+1 plus about a half pip for being not in perfect N-roll position but having odd number of checkers. So 43 Vs 43.5. Looks like initial double for money. I don't know score implications, but it seems to me because cash point is so low on 16 cube White can redouble sooner, since he almost never will be cubed out if things go bad. I'd say Redouble/Take.

#7. From White's perspective its easy [any non double]*[any double]=5/6*1/6=5/36 plus some other sequences is way over 5.5% needed to take, so take is crystal clear. Should, Blue redouble? 21 and 31 are only numbers that don't lose market. Double now. Redouble/Take.

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