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Daily Quiz 4/2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 12 April 2012, at 12:42 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/2 (Daily Quiz)

		White is Player 2 score: 12 pip: 81 21 point match pip: 94 score: 10 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--Ba-CDBC----A----abcccb--:1:-1:1:42:10:12:0:21:10
Blue to play 42

1.	XG Roller+	8/4 6/4	eq: +0.194
	Player: Opponent: 63.94% (G:2.25% B:0.05%) 36.06% (G:1.87% B:0.02%)
2.	XG Roller+	7/3* 5/3	eq: +0.159 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 63.60% (G:1.88% B:0.04%) 36.40% (G:5.54% B:0.07%)
3.	XG Roller+	13/7	eq: -0.207 (-0.401)
	Player: Opponent: 47.98% (G:1.18% B:0.03%) 52.02% (G:1.06% B:0.01%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

---

Not sure why 24/23 8/3* is better than 15/14 8/3* (if indeed it is better).

		White is Player 2 score: 12 pip: 149 21 point match pip: 158 score: 12 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a--E-C---eE-A-d-e----A-:0:0:1:51:12:12:0:21:10
Blue to play 51

1.	XG Roller+	24/23 8/3*	eq: -0.277
	Player: Opponent: 43.38% (G:9.91% B:0.32%) 56.62% (G:14.45% B:0.63%)
2.	XG Roller+	15/10 6/5	eq: -0.306 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 42.04% (G:8.85% B:0.26%) 57.96% (G:12.30% B:0.47%)
3.	XG Roller+	15/14 8/3*	eq: -0.309 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 42.55% (G:9.84% B:0.31%) 57.45% (G:14.40% B:0.70%)
4.	XG Roller+	24/23 13/8	eq: -0.313 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 42.12% (G:8.56% B:0.27%) 57.88% (G:13.36% B:0.46%)
5.	XG Roller+	24/23 15/10	eq: -0.315 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 41.55% (G:7.70% B:0.21%) 58.45% (G:11.17% B:0.31%)
6.	XG Roller+	13/8 6/5	eq: -0.326 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 42.12% (G:9.31% B:0.31%) 57.88% (G:14.49% B:0.66%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

---

Massive overcorrection on my part.

		White is Player 2 score: 12 pip: 129 21 point match pip: 111 score: 12 Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BCCB-AA--bB---cccc--A--:0:0:1:00:12:12:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	67.13% (G: 31.70% B: 0.39%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	32.87% (G: 5.48% B: 0.28%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.605
Double:	+1.264
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.799 (-0.201)
Double/Take:	+1.019 (+0.019)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:

		White is Player 2 score: 12 pip: 129 21 point match pip: 121 score: 12 Blue is Player 1
XGID=a---BCCBAA--bB---cccc--A--:0:0:1:00:12:12:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	65.17% (G: 25.64% B: 0.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	34.83% (G: 7.19% B: 0.38%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.488
Double:	+0.984
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.719 (-0.012)
Double/Take:	+0.731
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.269)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 4/2
  Daily Quiz -- Sunday, 8 April 2012, at 3:29 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/2
    MishyPoo -- Sunday, 8 April 2012, at 6:55 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/2
    David Rennie -- Monday, 9 April 2012, at 10:38 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/2
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 10 April 2012, at 3:18 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/2
    kruidenbuiltje -- Tuesday, 10 April 2012, at 10:28 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 4/2: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 12 April 2012, at 12:42 a.m.
    • Daily Quiz 4/2: XGR+ evals
      Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 12:19 p.m.