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Daily Quiz 4/3: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 12 April 2012, at 12:44 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/3 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 75
11 point match
pip: 133
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=---B-aDBBAB------c-ac-Bcd-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 70.69% (G: 21.14% B: 0.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.31% (G: 9.48% B: 0.20%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.542
Redouble:+1.040
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.755 (-0.133)
Redouble/Take:+0.888
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.112)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 75
11 point match
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=---B-aCBBBB------c-ac-Bcd-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 74.49% (G: 21.37% B: 0.89%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.51% (G: 8.56% B: 0.15%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.631
Redouble:+1.234
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.848 (-0.152)
Redouble/Take:+1.101 (+0.101)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
11 point match
pip: 63
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DCb-D-cCA-------bbc--c---:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 67.36% (G: 39.32% B: 0.32%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.64% (G: 4.97% B: 0.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.681
Redouble:+0.862
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.800
Redouble/Take:+0.770 (-0.031)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.200)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Money session
pip: 63
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DCb-D-cCA-------bbc--c---:2:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 67.02% (G: 37.62% B: 0.23%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.98% (G: 4.83% B: 0.27%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.668
Redouble:+1.357
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.885 (-0.115)
Redouble/Take:+1.131 (+0.131)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

I did notice in passing (didn't write it down though) that 6/3*/2 left five checkers on the 5pt, but I guess I didn't give this fact enough weight.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
11 point match
pip: 45
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DEa-EA-a--------abbcbc---:3:-1:1:11:0:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 11

1.XG Roller+6/5 1/0ff(3)eq: +0.877
Player:
Opponent:		 92.37% (G:16.08% B:0.16%)
7.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller+6/5 2/0ff 1/0ffeq: +0.861 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		 92.03% (G:13.05% B:0.08%)
7.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+6/4 5/4 1/0ffeq: +0.828 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		 91.01% (G:8.95% B:0.04%)
8.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller+6/5 2/1 2/0ffeq: +0.825 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:		 90.95% (G:8.81% B:0.05%)
9.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller+6/3* 3/2eq: +0.813 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		 90.64% (G:7.37% B:0.01%)
9.36% (G:0.07% B:0.00%)
6.XG Roller+6/4 5/4(2)eq: +0.813 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		 90.63% (G:6.88% B:0.04%)
9.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
11 point match
pip: 41
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-EEa-DA-a--------abbcbc---:3:-1:1:11:0:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 11

1.XG Roller+6/3* 3/2eq: +0.863
Player:
Opponent:		 92.87% (G:7.84% B:0.01%)
7.13% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
2.XG Roller+6/5 1/0ff(3)eq: +0.815 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		 89.51% (G:16.43% B:0.15%)
10.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+6/5 2/0ff 1/0ffeq: +0.785 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		 88.64% (G:12.57% B:0.04%)
11.36% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller+6/4 5/4(2)eq: +0.742 (-0.122)
Player:
Opponent:		 87.55% (G:5.87% B:0.01%)
12.45% (G:0.04% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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