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EPC gives wrong answer (?)

Posted By: rew
Date: Thursday, 19 April 2012, at 7:02 p.m.

Even when i use xg's epc estimates and plug it into the epc cube formula it indicates a close pass, yet it is a quite easy take. Comments?

EPC blue : 59.5

EPC white : 65.2

Point of last take : 59.5 + (59.5/7-3) = 65

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 58 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--BEC------------ceca---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75,75% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)	75,69% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24,25% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)	24,31% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0,515	+1,028
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0,783 (-0,110)
Double/Take:	+0,892
Double/Pass:	+1,000 (+0,108)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Messages In This Thread

• EPC gives wrong answer (?)
  rew -- Thursday, 19 April 2012, at 7:02 p.m.
  • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
    kruidenbuiltje -- Thursday, 19 April 2012, at 7:19 p.m.
    • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
      pontiac -- Friday, 20 April 2012, at 6:51 a.m.
  • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 19 April 2012, at 8:25 p.m.
  • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
    storm -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 8:53 a.m.
    • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
      rew -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 1:27 p.m.
      • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
        Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 2:44 p.m.
        • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
          rew -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 2:53 p.m.
          • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
            Maik Stiebler -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 3:07 p.m.
            • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
              rew -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 3:12 p.m.
              • Take a look at this one?
                Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 4:33 p.m.
                • Take a look at this one?
                  Ian Shaw -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 5:00 p.m.
                  • Take a look at this one?
                    Mr Majestyk -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 7:43 p.m.
          • EPC gives wrong answer (?)
            storm -- Monday, 23 April 2012, at 3:30 p.m.