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Q about Neil's Numbers

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 9:22 p.m.

In Response To: Q about Neil's Numbers (Phil Simborg)

I do it when I feel like Gammon Price is significantly different from money. Let me explain you why. Suppose in the second example I just assumed that the price of gammon is slightly higher than for money. Perhaps 0.53, versus 0.583 using NN and 0.565 using exact values from the MET. If there are 30% of gammons these values would translate into 15.9%, 17.49% and 16.95% wins. Even though I only used educated guess of what Gammon Price may be, my error [1.05%]was only slightly worse than the one using Neil's numbers [0.53%]. Doing all this work to get half percent closer just doesn't look practical to me.

What if Gammon Rate were lower? Then my error would be even lower. What if gammon rate were higher, perhaps 50%? In most situations position would be so good [r bad. depends on perspective] that it would be clear what to do with the cube anyway.

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