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Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Thursday, 3 May 2012, at 11:19 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not (Timothy Chow)

GNUbg 0-ply inverts the top two plays. JSDs > 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 5, Leo 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: Leo to play 43

gnubg	109
Leo	133
Position ID: 2H0sDAAmr4MBDA Match ID: cAnuAFAAAAAE

• Leo moves 8/5 8/4

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		-0.581	(Money: -0.534)
	0.258 0.019 0.000 - 0.742 0.069 0.001
Cubeful equities:
	4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.	No double	-0.742
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+1.742
3.	Double, take	-1.439	-0.697
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28.6%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0.040)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/4 6/3	-0.417
			0.265 0.030 0.002 - 0.735 0.231 0.012 -0.380 -0.417 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			10352 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
•	2	R	8/5 8/4	-0.457 ( -0.040)
			0.259 0.031 0.002 - 0.741 0.256 0.012 -0.391 -0.457 0.001 0.000 0.000 - 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.002 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			10352 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	3	R	8/5 7/3	-0.478 ( -0.061)
			0.259 0.029 0.002 - 0.741 0.226 0.016 -0.396 -0.478 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.003 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			4667 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	4	R	7/3 6/3	-0.603 ( -0.187)
			0.246 0.026 0.000 - 0.754 0.235 0.010 -0.430 -0.603 0.003 0.002 0.000 - 0.003 0.011 0.003 0.008 0.029
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			507 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	5	R	8/1	-0.702 ( -0.285)
			0.239 0.022 0.000 - 0.761 0.222 0.013 -0.457 -0.702 0.003 0.002 0.001 - 0.003 0.013 0.003 0.010 0.037
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			366 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	6	R	8/4 7/4	-0.728 ( -0.311)
			0.233 0.023 0.002 - 0.767 0.270 0.013 -0.464 -0.728 0.003 0.002 0.001 - 0.003 0.014 0.004 0.009 0.035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	7	R	8/5 6/2	-0.735 ( -0.319)
			0.234 0.022 0.002 - 0.766 0.266 0.018 -0.466 -0.735 0.003 0.002 0.002 - 0.003 0.015 0.004 0.010 0.036
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			364 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	8	R	13/9 8/5	-0.750 ( -0.333)
			0.230 0.023 0.000 - 0.770 0.276 0.018 -0.470 -0.750 0.003 0.002 0.001 - 0.003 0.014 0.010 0.010 0.036
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			361 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914837305 and quasi-random dice
			Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 4 (min. 360 games)
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 April 2012, at 9:11 p.m.
  • Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
    pontiac -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 6:46 a.m.
  • Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
    ah_clem -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 2:53 p.m.
  • Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 27 April 2012, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 7:08 p.m.
    • Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
      Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 28 April 2012, at 8:02 p.m.
    • Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
      leobueno -- Thursday, 3 May 2012, at 11:19 p.m.
      • Rollout: Hit, hit, hit! ...or not
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 4 May 2012, at 6:35 a.m.