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Why is making the 5 point such a bad play?

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 4 May 2012, at 12:42 a.m.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, Leo 0

Move number 7: Leo to play 34

gnubg138

1O ' ' '1O6X '3X ' ' '3O

' ' ' '2O4O '3O '1O '6X
Leo151
Position ID: 4OfgBwCw58QBIQ Match ID: cIkRAAAAAAAE

• Leo moves 24/20 8/5

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity -0.039
0.464 0.124 0.002 - 0.536 0.089 0.003
Cubeful equities:
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
1.No double -0.065
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.065
3.Double, take -0.450 -0.384
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (26.5%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.184)

# Ply Move Equity
1 4 13/10 8/4 -0.062
0.465 0.129 0.003 - 0.535 0.089 0.003
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
2 4 8/4 6/3 -0.065 ( -0.003)
0.466 0.130 0.003 - 0.534 0.092 0.003
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
3 4 8/5 8/4 -0.077 ( -0.015)
0.461 0.131 0.003 - 0.539 0.092 0.003
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
4 4 10/7 8/4 -0.083 ( -0.021)
0.462 0.125 0.003 - 0.538 0.091 0.003
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
• 5 4 24/20 8/5 -0.246 ( -0.184)
0.415 0.024 0.000 - 0.585 0.015 0.000
4-ply cubeful prune [4ply]
6 2 13/9 8/5 -0.074 ( -0.011)
0.465 0.116 0.002 - 0.535 0.086 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 2 13/9 6/3 -0.080 ( -0.018)
0.464 0.116 0.002 - 0.536 0.089 0.003
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
8 2 13/9 10/7 -0.085 ( -0.023)
0.463 0.111 0.002 - 0.537 0.086 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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