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PR differencies and winning ratios

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Saturday, 5 May 2012, at 9:13 p.m.

In Response To: PR differencies and winning ratios (Rick Janowski)

Rick, do you have data which supports the hypothesis that the 'Fish' MET's are good for that purpose? For what it's worth, I find their predictions for 1-point matches suspicious - according to them, for example, a 100 point Elo advantage translates to being a 52% favorite. The FIBS formula says it's 52.88%, and conventional wisdom used to be that the FIBS formula underestimates the amount of skill present in 1-point-matches.

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