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WHEN? WHAT? HOW? Rollout

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Sunday, 13 May 2012, at 9:46 a.m.

In Response To: WHEN? WHAT? HOW? (Mr Majestyk)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
5 point match
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aaAaDBC---dB---cBe-A----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.82% (G:19.25% B:0.97%) 64.97% (G:19.15% B:0.99%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.18% (G:7.42% B:0.37%) 35.03% (G:7.55% B:0.58%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.412 +0.872
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.636±0.014 (+0.622..+0.651)
Double/Take:+0.617 (-0.019)±0.018 (+0.599..+0.635)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.364)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 4.8%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9067303
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
 
Double Decision confidence:95.1%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 20 minutes 29 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 175
5 point match
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--bBBCBBA--d----cBeA-----:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 43
1.XG Roller++18/15 18/14eq: +0.694
Player:
Opponent:
77.22% (G:22.22% B:0.70%)
22.78% (G:3.11% B:0.13%)
2.XG Roller++20/13eq: +0.668 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
77.65% (G:19.00% B:0.50%)
22.35% (G:2.78% B:0.09%)
3.XG Roller++18/11eq: +0.664 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
76.15% (G:22.05% B:0.73%)
23.85% (G:3.31% B:0.13%)
4.XG Roller++20/16 18/15eq: +0.656 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
76.30% (G:21.20% B:0.72%)
23.70% (G:3.46% B:0.14%)
5.XG Roller++20/16 9/6eq: +0.638 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
75.64% (G:20.95% B:0.63%)
24.36% (G:3.16% B:0.10%)
6.XG Roller++18/14 9/6eq: +0.638 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
75.06% (G:22.41% B:0.71%)
24.94% (G:3.53% B:0.12%)
7.XG Roller++18/15 9/5eq: +0.627 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
74.99% (G:21.62% B:0.66%)
25.01% (G:3.59% B:0.13%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
5 point match
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-bBBCBCB--a----eae-----A:1:-1:1:51:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 51
1.XG Roller++Bar/24 6/1* eq: +0.848
Player:
Opponent:
80.22% (G:27.54% B:0.86%)
19.78% (G:2.08% B:0.07%)
2.XG Roller++Bar/20 8/7eq: +0.769 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
82.49% (G:16.54% B:0.37%)
17.51% (G:1.51% B:0.05%)
3.4-plyBar/20 6/5eq: +0.763 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:
82.05% (G:16.89% B:0.39%)
17.95% (G:1.55% B:0.06%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

NBM

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