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Odds Of Blue, The Underdog, Winning A Gammon

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 13 May 2012, at 6:12 p.m.

In Response To: Odds Of Blue, The Underdog, Winning A Gammon (Paul Weaver)

How did you obtain your estimate of 1/300? Is that a (pseudo)cubeless number?

The chances of this position being played to completion with Blue winning a gammon yet without White ever having a correct double along the way (after which a gammon is meaningless even if Blue takes) seems a lot less than 1/300 to me.

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