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Probability Question for Dr. Bob Koca

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 14 May 2012, at 3:57 a.m.

In Response To: Odds Of Blue, The Underdog, Winning A Gammon (Bob Koca)

There will be two big events in London May 19-20. One event will have 64 players. The other event will have 128 players. Assume that everyone who plays in the 64-field event will also play in the 128-field event.

What is the probability that at least one person makes the semis of both? You can assume that everyone is 50% to win each match. In reality, this may not be true. Some of the 64 players may, in fact, be stronger than others.

I have an even money bet for ten quid that no one will reach the semis of both events.

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