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BGonline.org Forums
RO surprise: 9/5*/2 ... 51: bar/24 21/16* ... ?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: RO surprise: winning the most games AND most gammons is not the best move...?! (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Monday, 14 May 2012, at 7:34 p.m.
MG. Blue on roll
White 123
Blue 95 Position ID: bW2gCCI2/gcAQA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAE Alert: wrong double ( -0.3030)! [very bad]
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.0800 Cubeful equities: 1. No double -0.0017 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +1.0017 3. Double, take -0.3047 -0.3030 Proper cube action: No double, take (23.2%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.4509 0.2283 0.0293 - 0.5491 0.0771 0.0022 +0.0800 -0.0017 Standard error 0.0016 0.0017 0.0013 - 0.0016 0.0016 0.0002 0.0048 0.0100 Player White owns 2-cube 0.4539 0.2380 0.0289 - 0.5461 0.0762 0.0025 +0.1921 -0.3047 Standard error 0.0018 0.0019 0.0014 - 0.0018 0.0017 0.0002 0.0104 0.0166 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 914958680 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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