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Degree of Difficulty Evaluation

Posted By: Snowie's Revenge
Date: Friday, 18 May 2012, at 1:15 a.m.

In Response To: Degree of Difficulty Evaluation (Perry Gartner)

The next bot should look to factor in player skill and complexity. For instance, if the player rates himself at a PR of 10, the bot should be more favourable towards lenient doubling of the cube. So, in this scenario the bot would say it is right for the player to double the stakes earlier than he should do as it increases the volatility, whilst the player's chances of winning games and gammons are estimated slightly higher than his opponent. Because of this, it would almost surely be an easy take for the opponent, but the player would have doubled the stakes when he is still in a favourable position and hope to beat his opponent off the board. The effectiveness of using such aggression could also be accounted for when observing what the match score and length is at too. So, it would be very effective for the PR10 player to do this when trailing 6-1 (P-C) in a 7 point match as it makes the more talented bot give away equity and forces greater fluctuations in the +EV of the bot. Another situation where this would be accountable for is when the bot is leading in huge match scores, but yet is being forced to give away equity needlessly at the beginning of games - when his skill cannot overcome his opponent's as he is creating a gameplan(s).

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