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Rollout Result Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 5 June 2012, at 7:29 a.m.

Position 1. When White has only six in the zone, Blue should not be worried about getting hit. Blue should be concerned about finding a way to make his 5pt or improving his timing. 15/13 9/5 helps Blue with one or both of these two objectives.





White is peever

score: 0
pip: 205
1 point match
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is othello
XGID=----B-C--Aab-B--cbCd-bBBa-:0:0:-1:42:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout115/13 9/5eq: +0.010
Player:
Opponent:
50.51% (G:31.13% B:5.20%)
49.49% (G:6.91% B:0.73%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.005...+0.015) - [99.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 04 minutes
2.Rollout115/9eq: -0.001 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
49.94% (G:29.49% B:4.86%)
50.06% (G:6.95% B:0.60%)
Conf.: 0.005 (-0.007...+0.004) - [0.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 54 minutes
3.Rollout19/5 6/4eq: -0.004 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
49.82% (G:30.75% B:5.21%)
50.18% (G:7.06% B:0.88%)
Conf.: 0.005 (-0.008...+0.001) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 01 minute
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is peever

score: 0
pip: 205
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 119
score: 0

Blue is othello
XGID=----B-C--Aab-B--cbCd-bBBa-:0:0:-1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout115/13 9/5eq: +0.282
Player:
Opponent:
51.73% (G:26.54% B:1.74%)
48.27% (G:8.66% B:0.41%)
Conf.: 0.010 (+0.273...+0.292) - [99.8%]
Duration: 1 hour 58 minutes
2.Rollout19/5 6/4eq: +0.261 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
51.00% (G:26.82% B:1.80%)
49.00% (G:8.43% B:0.39%)
Conf.: 0.010 (+0.251...+0.271) - [0.2%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
3.Rollout115/9eq: +0.260 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
50.92% (G:25.92% B:1.61%)
49.08% (G:7.58% B:0.31%)
Conf.: 0.010 (+0.251...+0.270) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Position 2. Making the 9pt looks tempting. It blocks White's 61 62 63 66. Making the 11pt, on the other hand, blocks White's 44, forcing her to break her 8pt. Making the 11pt also gives Blue more shots if White rolls 41 42 43 51 52 53 54 55 64. Finally, making the 11pt allows Blue to play 18/14, releasing a checker from the 18pt so that White's two-prime (her 9pt and 8pt) does not prime Blue's 18pt next roll with four numbers (11 21 22).





White is othello

score: 0
pip: 104
1 point match
pip: 194
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=---aBBB----A-A--ccCbBcbBa-:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout118/14 13/11eq: +0.074
Player:
Opponent:
53.71% (G:7.24% B:0.54%)
46.29% (G:30.28% B:5.46%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.070...+0.079) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes
2.Rollout113/9 11/9eq: +0.060 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
52.98% (G:7.54% B:0.53%)
47.02% (G:30.01% B:5.14%)
Conf.: 0.005 (+0.055...+0.064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 56 minutes
3.Rollout218/12eq: +0.055 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
52.75% (G:7.99% B:0.65%)
47.25% (G:31.88% B:5.79%)
Conf.: 0.007 (+0.048...+0.062) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is othello

score: 0
pip: 104
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 194
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=---aBBB----A-A--ccCbBcbBa-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout118/14 13/11eq: -0.085
Player:
Opponent:
52.36% (G:8.98% B:0.34%)
47.64% (G:25.89% B:1.16%)
Conf.: 0.019 (-0.103...-0.066) - [99.9%]
Duration: 24 minutes 09 seconds
2.Rollout113/9 11/9eq: -0.127 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
51.60% (G:9.05% B:0.35%)
48.40% (G:25.83% B:1.03%)
Conf.: 0.017 (-0.143...-0.110) - [0.1%]
Duration: 24 minutes 18 seconds
3.Rollout118/12eq: -0.164 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:
51.41% (G:8.93% B:0.32%)
48.59% (G:28.15% B:1.19%)
Conf.: 0.020 (-0.184...-0.143) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 33 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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