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Crime vs Prime Redouble Cube Action ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 11 June 2012, at 3:10 p.m.

In Response To: Crime vs Prime Redouble Cube Action (Daniel Murphy)

Nobody else bothered to post a rollout, and since it's been several days I thought I'd do it.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 131
Unlimited Game
pip: 71
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBCBCB-----a--c-bbccA----:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.42% (G:48.18% B:0.18%) 73.34% (G:47.70% B:0.17%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.58% (G:2.14% B:0.05%) 26.66% (G:2.28% B:0.06%)
Cubeless Equities +0.930 +1.844
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.083±0.006 (+1.077..+1.090)
Redouble/Take:+1.588 (+0.504)±0.014 (+1.574..+1.601)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.083)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 14.2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 22 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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