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Rollout: Unfamiliar decisions: #7

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 15 June 2012, at 12:30 a.m.

In Response To: Unfamiliar decisions: #7 (Timothy Chow)

As a general rule of thumb, one plays safe when winning and plays boldly when losing. White is winning here and should have some concern for the really bad sequences when her 7pt blot gets hit and she dances. If she cleans up with 7/3 then Blue may self-destruct of his own accord.

On the other hand, 20/16 isn't that awful either since White has the better board and Blue has a blot in her home board.

		White is eXtremeGammon score: 4 pip: 154 7 point match pip: 110 score: 4 Blue is Timothy Chow
XGID=a-EABcC-----b---C-abbbbA--:1:1:-1:41:4:4:0:7:10
White to play 41

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 7/3	eq: +0.530
	Player: Opponent: 70.24% (G:31.93% B:4.10%) 29.76% (G:12.33% B:0.60%) Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.517...+0.543) Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 20/16	eq: +0.499 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 70.15% (G:30.40% B:4.54%) 29.85% (G:15.83% B:1.42%) Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.486...+0.512) Duration: 2 hours 21 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Unfamiliar decisions: #7
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 June 2012, at 6:44 p.m.
  • Unfamiliar decisions: #7
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 13 June 2012, at 9:51 p.m.
  • Unfamiliar decisions: #7
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 14 June 2012, at 3:46 p.m.
  • Rollout: Unfamiliar decisions: #7
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 15 June 2012, at 12:30 a.m.