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What would you have done OTB

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Wednesday, 20 June 2012, at 12:36 a.m.

In Response To: What would you have done OTB (Bob Koca)

If you were going to always double after reaching the two men on the eight point position, there would be absolutely no jeopardy in playing 6-1,5-1. If your opponent rolls very well you can cash, otherwise you root for a clearing double, which allows you to play on. There is a very small chance for a gammon, but it is a free roll. But, this assumes that you will always double when you have two men on the eight point. Is it right? Since you only get hit immediately 11/648 =1.69%, you probably get hit less than 2% overall, meaning you need to win something less than 2.6% gammons to make it right to play-on. Can you win 2.6% gammons? I think so. The right play is likely 8-4, 6-1 and then cash if your opponent rolls well, otherwise play-on.

Messages In This Thread

• What would you have done OTB
  Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 3:50 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 4:50 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 4:57 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 5:34 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    David Rennie -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 6:55 p.m.
    • What would you have done OTB
      Prince Barlow -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 7:41 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 19 June 2012, at 9:30 p.m.
  • What would you have done OTB
    Joe Russell -- Wednesday, 20 June 2012, at 12:36 a.m.
    • What would you have done OTB RESULTS and OTB thinking
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 25 June 2012, at 5:12 p.m.