Wasn't clear to at all if I had a cube or not. I decided to double thinking that there is a fair chance he may drop. Bellow are rollouts of original problem ATS, for money, and variants.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | 7 point match | pip: 112 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-bBC-BBAA---bB---bBccba---:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:7:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 64.98% (G:17.60% B:1.15%) | 65.19% (G:17.63% B:1.31%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 35.02% (G:9.54% B:0.52%) | 34.81% (G:9.52% B:0.47%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.407 | +0.888 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.631 | ±0.013 (+0.617..+0.644) |
Double/Take: | +0.558 (-0.073) | ±0.018 (+0.540..+0.576) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.369) |
|
Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.1% |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 3 minutes 49 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Money:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 112 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-bBC-BBAA---bB---bBccba---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 65.12% (G:17.29% B:1.08%) | 65.28% (G:17.24% B:1.09%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 34.88% (G:9.39% B:0.40%) | 34.72% (G:9.51% B:0.42%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.388 | +0.779 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.601 | ±0.014 (+0.587..+0.615) |
Double/Take: | +0.544 (-0.057) | ±0.017 (+0.527..+0.561) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.399) |
|
Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.1% |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Spare in a better place:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 115 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-bBB-BCAA---bB---bBccba---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 70.62% (G:18.47% B:0.98%) | 70.89% (G:19.29% B:1.19%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 29.38% (G:7.41% B:0.27%) | 29.11% (G:7.57% B:0.27%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.530 | +1.089 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.801 (-0.088) | ±0.009 (+0.792..+0.810) |
Double/Take: | +0.889 | ±0.015 (+0.874..+0.904) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.111) |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Take |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 4 minutes 41 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Gap on a 3pt:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 113 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-bC-BBBAA---bB---bBccba---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 67.49% (G:17.30% B:1.14%) | 67.60% (G:18.01% B:1.30%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 32.51% (G:7.93% B:0.33%) | 32.40% (G:8.05% B:0.34%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.452 | +0.922 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.709 | ±0.014 (+0.695..+0.723) |
Double/Take: | +0.687 (-0.023) | ±0.018 (+0.669..+0.704) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.291) |
|
Best Cube action: No double / Take |
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.7% |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 97.4% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Spare in a better place:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 117 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-bB-BBCAA---bB---bBccba---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue on roll, cube action? |
Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
Player Winning Chances: | 74.11% (G:18.83% B:1.01%) | 74.47% (G:20.30% B:1.32%) |
Opponent Winning Chances: | 25.89% (G:5.86% B:0.21%) | 25.53% (G:5.93% B:0.22%) |
Cubeless Equities | +0.620 | +1.288 |
Cubeful Equities |
No double: | +0.894 (-0.106) | ±0.009 (+0.885..+0.903) |
Double/Take: | +1.114 (+0.114) | ±0.015 (+1.100..+1.129) |
Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
|
Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
|
Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03