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63S-32(SZW)-XX money rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 22 June 2012, at 3:17 a.m.

I know Nack also has people doing these to get a more precise result on how the second roll plays end up but I figured I'd toss out the rollouts I have in case they help. First 63S-32S-XX:

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:24:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 24

1. Rollout1 18/14* 6/4* eq: +0.397 Player: Opponent: 58.89% (G:18.50% B:1.16%) 41.11% (G:10.59% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.392...+0.402) - [75.2%] Duration: 9 hours 33 minutes 2. Rollout1 8/4* 6/4 eq: +0.394 (-0.002) Player: Opponent: 58.55% (G:19.64% B:1.18%) 41.45% (G:10.73% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.389...+0.399) - [24.8%] Duration: 8 hours 31 minutes 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45665048 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 52

1. Rollout1 18/13 6/4* eq: +0.039 Player: Opponent: 51.35% (G:14.00% B:0.68%) 48.65% (G:14.04% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.031...+0.046) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 hours 24 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/13 10/8 eq: +0.011 (-0.027) Player: Opponent: 50.82% (G:10.75% B:0.47%) 49.18% (G:12.79% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.004...+0.018) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 01 minute 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 30489100 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 53

1. Rollout1 18/10 eq: +0.213 Player: Opponent: 55.71% (G:11.98% B:0.54%) 44.29% (G:10.86% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.206...+0.221) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 hours 15 minutes 2. Rollout1 10/5 8/5 eq: +0.190 (-0.023) Player: Opponent: 54.55% (G:14.80% B:0.75%) 45.45% (G:11.41% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.183...+0.197) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 54 minutes 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99786449 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 44

1. Rollout1 18/14* 13/9 8/4*(2) eq: +0.841 Player: Opponent: 66.82% (G:30.37% B:2.37%) 33.18% (G:6.86% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.836...+0.846) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/14* 14/10 8/4*(2) eq: +0.827 (-0.014) Player: Opponent: 66.88% (G:27.82% B:1.96%) 33.12% (G:6.67% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.822...+0.832) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 44 minutes 1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72043859 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54

1. Rollout1 18/14* 6/1* eq: +0.208 Player: Opponent: 54.90% (G:16.09% B:0.61%) 45.10% (G:11.93% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.200...+0.216) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 hours 33 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/14* 14/9 eq: +0.187 (-0.021) Player: Opponent: 54.11% (G:16.15% B:0.85%) 45.89% (G:11.96% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.178...+0.196) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 hours 28 minutes 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91231087 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-dDa--cAe----A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 64

1. Rollout1 10/4* 8/4 eq: +0.387 Player: Opponent: 57.98% (G:20.06% B:1.16%) 42.02% (G:10.49% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.379...+0.394) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 hours 11 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/14* 10/4* eq: +0.351 (-0.036) Player: Opponent: 57.83% (G:18.11% B:1.09%) 42.17% (G:10.66% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.343...+0.359) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 hours 49 minutes 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25929597 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Now 63S-32Z-XX:

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD-a-cAe----A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 11

1. Rollout1 24/22 6/5(2) eq: +0.275 Player: Opponent: 57.11% (G:14.39% B:0.70%) 42.89% (G:11.79% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.265...+0.285) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes 2. Rollout1 10/8 6/5(2) eq: +0.248 (-0.027) Player: Opponent: 56.38% (G:14.04% B:0.68%) 43.62% (G:11.07% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.237...+0.258) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes 3. Rollout2 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.203 (-0.072) Player: Opponent: 55.43% (G:14.75% B:0.67%) 44.57% (G:11.67% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (+0.183...+0.222) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 38 seconds 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84951302 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84951302 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD-a-cAe----A-:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 13

1. Rollout1 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.229 Player: Opponent: 55.77% (G:14.94% B:0.70%) 44.23% (G:11.61% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.224...+0.233) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 hours 48 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/15* 15/14 eq: +0.210 (-0.018) Player: Opponent: 55.14% (G:15.23% B:0.79%) 44.86% (G:11.86% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.205...+0.215) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 hours 06 minutes 1 13284 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 81522464 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD-a-cAe----A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 42

1. Rollout1 24/18 eq: +0.144 Player: Opponent: 53.60% (G:10.63% B:0.32%) 46.40% (G:9.00% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.134...+0.153) - [99.9%] Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes 2. Rollout1 8/4 6/4 eq: +0.122 (-0.022) Player: Opponent: 53.10% (G:14.35% B:0.65%) 46.90% (G:12.16% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.112...+0.132) - [0.1%] Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3365070 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD-a-cAe----A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 62

1. Rollout1 10/4 6/4 eq: +0.198 Player: Opponent: 54.91% (G:14.50% B:0.66%) 45.09% (G:11.20% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.194...+0.202) - [99.3%] Duration: 7 hours 21 minutes 2. Rollout1 18/10 eq: +0.191 (-0.007) Player: Opponent: 55.29% (G:11.93% B:0.49%) 44.71% (G:10.94% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.186...+0.195) - [0.7%] Duration: 7 hours 42 minutes 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 42477328 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD-a-cAe----A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 64

1. Rollout1 10/4 8/4 eq: +0.156 Player: Opponent: 53.76% (G:14.80% B:0.64%) 46.24% (G:11.57% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.152...+0.160) - [60.1%] Duration: 6 hours 40 minutes 2. Rollout1 24/18 10/6 eq: +0.155 (-0.001) Player: Opponent: 53.89% (G:12.44% B:0.41%) 46.11% (G:10.91% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.151...+0.159) - [39.9%] Duration: 6 hours 36 minutes 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 71043238 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Now 63S-32W-XX:

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-eD---cAd-a--A-:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 13

1. Rollout1 24/21* 21/20 eq: +0.137 Player: Opponent: 53.00% (G:14.67% B:0.74%) 47.00% (G:11.77% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.132...+0.142) - [69.2%] Duration: 11 hours 25 minutes 2. Rollout1 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.135 (-0.002) Player: Opponent: 53.28% (G:15.19% B:0.72%) 46.72% (G:13.11% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.131...+0.140) - [30.8%] Duration: 8 hours 36 minutes 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62409564 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-eD---cAd-a--A-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 22

1. Rollout1 18/16 13/11 6/4*(2) eq: +0.559 Player: Opponent: 62.63% (G:20.26% B:1.24%) 37.37% (G:9.20% B:0.41%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.551...+0.567) - [99.2%] Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes 2. Rollout1 13/11(2) 6/4*(2) eq: +0.544 (-0.015) Player: Opponent: 61.94% (G:21.65% B:1.55%) 38.06% (G:9.34% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.536...+0.553) - [0.8%] Duration: 2 hours 50 minutes 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 94866673 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 162 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a--a-E-C-A-eD---cAd-a--A-:0:0:1:36:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 36

1. Rollout1 24/18 13/10 eq: +0.349 Player: Opponent: 58.95% (G:11.27% B:0.38%) 41.05% (G:7.69% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.343...+0.355) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 hours 41 minutes 2. Rollout1 24/21* 10/4* eq: +0.326 (-0.023) Player: Opponent: 57.04% (G:18.12% B:1.05%) 42.96% (G:10.41% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.317...+0.335) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 42 minutes   1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 93712609 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• 63S-32(SZW)-XX money rollouts
  Stick -- Friday, 22 June 2012, at 3:17 a.m.
  • 63S-32(SZW)-XX money rollouts
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Friday, 22 June 2012, at 6:01 a.m.
    • 63S-32(SZW)-XX money rollouts
      Stick -- Friday, 22 June 2012, at 3:55 p.m.