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63S32(SZW)XX money rollouts
Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 22 June 2012, at 3:17 a.m.
I know Nack also has people doing these to get a more precise result on how the second roll plays end up but I figured I'd toss out the rollouts I have in case they help. First 63S32SXX:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:24:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 24
1. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 6/4* eq: +0.397
Player:
Opponent:58.89% (G:18.50% B:1.16%)
41.11% (G:10.59% B:0.51%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.392...+0.402)  [75.2%]
Duration: 9 hours 33 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 8/4* 6/4 eq: +0.394 (0.002)
Player:
Opponent:58.55% (G:19.64% B:1.18%)
41.45% (G:10.73% B:0.49%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.389...+0.399)  [24.8%]
Duration: 8 hours 31 minutes^{1} 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 45665048
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 52
1. Rollout^{1} 18/13 6/4* eq: +0.039
Player:
Opponent:51.35% (G:14.00% B:0.68%)
48.65% (G:14.04% B:0.66%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.031...+0.046)  [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 24 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/13 10/8 eq: +0.011 (0.027)
Player:
Opponent:50.82% (G:10.75% B:0.47%)
49.18% (G:12.79% B:0.38%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.004...+0.018)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 01 minute^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30489100
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 18/10 eq: +0.213
Player:
Opponent:55.71% (G:11.98% B:0.54%)
44.29% (G:10.86% B:0.32%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.206...+0.221)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 15 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 10/5 8/5 eq: +0.190 (0.023)
Player:
Opponent:54.55% (G:14.80% B:0.75%)
45.45% (G:11.41% B:0.43%)Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.183...+0.197)  [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 54 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99786449
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 44
1. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 13/9 8/4*(2) eq: +0.841
Player:
Opponent:66.82% (G:30.37% B:2.37%)
33.18% (G:6.86% B:0.33%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.836...+0.846)  [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 14/10 8/4*(2) eq: +0.827 (0.014)
Player:
Opponent:66.88% (G:27.82% B:1.96%)
33.12% (G:6.67% B:0.26%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.822...+0.832)  [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 44 minutes^{1} 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72043859
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54
1. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 6/1* eq: +0.208
Player:
Opponent:54.90% (G:16.09% B:0.61%)
45.10% (G:11.93% B:0.53%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.200...+0.216)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 33 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 14/9 eq: +0.187 (0.021)
Player:
Opponent:54.11% (G:16.15% B:0.85%)
45.89% (G:11.96% B:0.56%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.178...+0.196)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 28 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91231087
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 64
1. Rollout^{1} 10/4* 8/4 eq: +0.387
Player:
Opponent:57.98% (G:20.06% B:1.16%)
42.02% (G:10.49% B:0.44%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.379...+0.394)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 11 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/14* 10/4* eq: +0.351 (0.036)
Player:
Opponent:57.83% (G:18.11% B:1.09%)
42.17% (G:10.66% B:0.43%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.343...+0.359)  [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 49 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25929597
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Now 63S32ZXX:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 11
1. Rollout^{1} 24/22 6/5(2) eq: +0.275
Player:
Opponent:57.11% (G:14.39% B:0.70%)
42.89% (G:11.79% B:0.49%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.265...+0.285)  [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 10/8 6/5(2) eq: +0.248 (0.027)
Player:
Opponent:56.38% (G:14.04% B:0.68%)
43.62% (G:11.07% B:0.39%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.237...+0.258)  [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes3. Rollout^{2} 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.203 (0.072)
Player:
Opponent:55.43% (G:14.75% B:0.67%)
44.57% (G:11.67% B:0.48%)Conf.: ± 0.020 (+0.183...+0.222)  [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 38 seconds^{1} 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84951302
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
^{2} 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 84951302
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 13
1. Rollout^{1} 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.229
Player:
Opponent:55.77% (G:14.94% B:0.70%)
44.23% (G:11.61% B:0.49%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.224...+0.233)  [100.0%]
Duration: 6 hours 48 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/15* 15/14 eq: +0.210 (0.018)
Player:
Opponent:55.14% (G:15.23% B:0.79%)
44.86% (G:11.86% B:0.49%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.205...+0.215)  [0.0%]
Duration: 8 hours 06 minutes^{1} 13284 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 81522464
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 42
1. Rollout^{1} 24/18 eq: +0.144
Player:
Opponent:53.60% (G:10.63% B:0.32%)
46.40% (G:9.00% B:0.35%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.134...+0.153)  [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 8/4 6/4 eq: +0.122 (0.022)
Player:
Opponent:53.10% (G:14.35% B:0.65%)
46.90% (G:12.16% B:0.52%)Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.112...+0.132)  [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes^{1} 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3365070
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 62
1. Rollout^{1} 10/4 6/4 eq: +0.198
Player:
Opponent:54.91% (G:14.50% B:0.66%)
45.09% (G:11.20% B:0.40%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.194...+0.202)  [99.3%]
Duration: 7 hours 21 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 18/10 eq: +0.191 (0.007)
Player:
Opponent:55.29% (G:11.93% B:0.49%)
44.71% (G:10.94% B:0.35%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.186...+0.195)  [0.7%]
Duration: 7 hours 42 minutes^{1} 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42477328
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAdDacAeA:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 64
1. Rollout^{1} 10/4 8/4 eq: +0.156
Player:
Opponent:53.76% (G:14.80% B:0.64%)
46.24% (G:11.57% B:0.46%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.152...+0.160)  [60.1%]
Duration: 6 hours 40 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 24/18 10/6 eq: +0.155 (0.001)
Player:
Opponent:53.89% (G:12.44% B:0.41%)
46.11% (G:10.91% B:0.39%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.151...+0.159)  [39.9%]
Duration: 6 hours 36 minutes^{1} 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71043238
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Now 63S32WXX:
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAeDcAdaA:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 13
1. Rollout^{1} 24/21* 21/20 eq: +0.137
Player:
Opponent:53.00% (G:14.67% B:0.74%)
47.00% (G:11.77% B:0.50%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.132...+0.142)  [69.2%]
Duration: 11 hours 25 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 8/5 6/5 eq: +0.135 (0.002)
Player:
Opponent:53.28% (G:15.19% B:0.72%)
46.72% (G:13.11% B:0.65%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.131...+0.140)  [30.8%]
Duration: 8 hours 36 minutes^{1} 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62409564
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAeDcAdaA:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 22
1. Rollout^{1} 18/16 13/11 6/4*(2) eq: +0.559
Player:
Opponent:62.63% (G:20.26% B:1.24%)
37.37% (G:9.20% B:0.41%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.551...+0.567)  [99.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 13/11(2) 6/4*(2) eq: +0.544 (0.015)
Player:
Opponent:61.94% (G:21.65% B:1.55%)
38.06% (G:9.34% B:0.42%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.536...+0.553)  [0.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 50 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94866673
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 162Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=aaECAeDcAdaA:0:0:1:36:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 36
1. Rollout^{1} 24/18 13/10 eq: +0.349
Player:
Opponent:58.95% (G:11.27% B:0.38%)
41.05% (G:7.69% B:0.27%)Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.343...+0.355)  [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 41 minutes2. Rollout^{1} 24/21* 10/4* eq: +0.326 (0.023)
Player:
Opponent:57.04% (G:18.12% B:1.05%)
42.96% (G:10.41% B:0.43%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.317...+0.335)  [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 42 minutes^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 93712609
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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