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BGonline.org Forums
statistical significance
Posted By: Bill Phipps In Response To: Into the Fray (Bob Koca)
Date: Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:44 a.m.
I cited a 2.3 PR because this was the result posted by Iancho in his most recent list. This was based on the last 50 matches from Stick. Additionally, we know that he played a 2.3 in his 16 matches with Joe, 2.2 in his money match with Wells, and my database shows 0.7(!) after 5 games played for 100 a game.
How meaningful is this sample? I am not certain. Maybe Iancho can tell us the standard deviation in PR in the matches from his database. But I suspect it would be incredibly difficult for a player with a true PR of 3.0 to get lucky and post a 2.3 after 50 matches.
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