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Offense or offense? * Rollout *

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 3:44 p.m.

In Response To: Offense or offense? (Daniel Murphy)

Double Match Point. Blue to play 3-2.

White	143
Blue	118
Position ID: 4NuGBUA2u4EMEA Match ID: cIkpAAAAAAAE

7/4 6/4 wins about 0.5% more games in a rollout at DMP. It's also best at a normal score, with White holding the cube. White has 10 checkers outside. To win gammons Blue doesn't need to hit any more checkers, just close White out quickly.

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/4 6/4	+0.619276
			0.809638 0.655850 0.050318 - 0.190362 0.032404 0.003539 +0.619276 +0.619276 0.001507 0.006526 0.003702 - 0.001507 0.002120 0.001132 0.003014 0.003014
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1783 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918583807 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	23/20 13/11*	+0.609332 ( -0.009944)
			0.804666 0.610531 0.043599 - 0.195334 0.033434 0.003218 +0.609332 +0.609332 0.001545 0.007151 0.003204 - 0.001545 0.002319 0.001163 0.003091 0.003091
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1783 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918583807 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Unlimited match. Blue to play 3-2.

White	143
Blue	118
Position ID: 4NuGBUA2u4EMEA Match ID: QYkJAAAAAAAE

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/4 6/4	+1.139578
			0.814507 0.614948 0.008276 - 0.185493 0.029130 0.001142 +1.221966 +1.139578 0.001789 0.002724 0.000679 - 0.001789 0.001113 0.001119 0.004990 0.007199
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			944 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918583807 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	23/20 13/11*	+1.070881 ( -0.068697)
			0.805111 0.569040 0.007849 - 0.194889 0.032419 0.001555 +1.153138 +1.070881 0.001872 0.002755 0.000721 - 0.001872 0.000930 0.000238 0.004905 0.006777
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			943 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 918583807 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Offense or offense?
  Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 6:47 p.m.
  • Offense or offense?
    christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 7:09 p.m.
  • Offense or offense?
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 11:57 p.m.
  • Offense or offense?
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 12:40 a.m.
  • Offense or offense?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 2:02 p.m.
  • Offense or offense?
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 5:11 p.m.
  • Offense or offense? * Rollout *
    Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 3:44 p.m.