BGonline.org Forums

statistical significance

Posted By: PINO
Date: Friday, 29 June 2012, at 2:14 p.m.

In Response To: statistical significance (Timothy Chow)

" Strictly speaking, that term should only be used when a hypothesis is made at the outset and some experiments are performed to test the hypothesis"

Think in this context of the following thought experiment: as you know every year a thousand players take place in the finals of the world coin flipping contest. Every player flips 10000 coins and the player who's got most heads wins. If we assume that this is normally a game of chance and you want to ex post test for cheating, you can be sure that with a very high degree of statsitical significance, every year's winner is a cheat (and the number 1000 a shameless and corrupt player that on purpose dumps his matches).

Messages In This Thread

• Into the Fray
  Bill Phipps -- Monday, 25 June 2012, at 11:38 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:04 a.m.
    • Into the Fray
      Jake Jacobs -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 3:10 a.m.
    • Into the Fray
      Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 4:02 a.m.
      • Another subject
        Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 4:27 a.m.
        • Another subject
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 9:57 p.m.
      • Into the Fray
        Joe Russell -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 9:24 a.m.
        • Into the Fray
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:41 p.m.
        • Into the Fray
          Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:16 p.m.
          • Into the Fray
            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 10:57 p.m.
            • Into the Fray
              Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 11:09 p.m.
              • OT: PJT analogy
                Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 11:36 p.m.
                • OT: PJT analogy
                  Christian Munk-Christensen -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 6:54 a.m.
                  • OT: PJT analogy
                    Stick -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 7:20 a.m.
      • Into the Fray
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:05 p.m.
      • Into the Fray
        christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 9:12 p.m.
  • Novi MI Jul 4-8
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:57 a.m.
    • Unquestionably Strong
      Bill Phipps -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 11:00 a.m.
      • Unquestionably Strong
        Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 11:31 a.m.
        • Unquestionably Strong
          christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 5:20 p.m.
          • Unquestionably Strong
            David Wells -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 5:39 p.m.
            • Unquestionably Strong
              Jake Jacobs -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 4:05 a.m.
    • MCG
      Bill Phipps -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 11:06 a.m.
  • Into the Fray
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 3:30 a.m.
  • Into the Fray
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 4:13 a.m.
    • statistical significance
      Bill Phipps -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:44 a.m.
      • statistical significance
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 5:03 p.m.
        • statistical significance
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:15 p.m.
        • statistical significance
          PINO -- Friday, 29 June 2012, at 2:14 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 8:11 a.m.
  • My own experience
    Bill Phipps -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 11:26 a.m.
    • DMP
      David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 1:46 p.m.
      • DMP
        Bill Phipps -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:12 p.m.
        • DMP
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 11:29 p.m.
      • DMP ratings GNU vs XG
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:37 p.m.
        • DMP ratings GNU vs XG
          David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 3:19 p.m.
        • DMP ratings GNU vs XG
          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 4:59 p.m.
          • DMP ratings GNU vs XG
            eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 6:24 p.m.
      • PR vs ER
        Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 2:38 p.m.
        • PR vs ER
          Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 2:24 a.m.
          • PR vs ER
            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 9:20 p.m.
            • PR vs ER
              Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 9:33 p.m.
      • OT: DMP PRs vs. Cubeful PRs
        Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 9:44 p.m.
        • OT: DMP PRs vs. Cubeful PRs
          Maik Stiebler -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 8:00 a.m.
          • OT: DMP PRs vs. Cubeful PRs
            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Sunday, 1 July 2012, at 10:13 p.m.
            • OT: DMP PRs vs. Cubeful PRs
              Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 1 July 2012, at 10:43 p.m.
    • Stick is a DMP specialist *NM*
      benf -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 3:01 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    Peter -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 12:32 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 7:44 p.m.
    • Into the Fray
      christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 8:07 p.m.
      • Into the Fray
        Phil Simborg -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:08 p.m.
        • Into the Fray
          Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 10:47 p.m.
    • Into the Fray
      benf -- Tuesday, 26 June 2012, at 8:09 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    falafel -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 12:24 a.m.
    • Into the Fray
      David Wells -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 1:42 a.m.
      • Into the Fray
        Steve Mellen -- Wednesday, 27 June 2012, at 3:14 p.m.
  • Into the Fray
    leemo -- Thursday, 28 June 2012, at 2:59 p.m.