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Falafel vs. Bagai? 4-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 6 August 2012, at 6:08 a.m.

In Response To: XGR+ evals: Falafel vs. Bagai? (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 84
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 35
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aCBBCa---------b----bbbe-:1:-1:1:31:0:0:3:0:3
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout14/1* 2/1eq: +1.2787
Player:
Opponent:
93.06% (G:43.94% B:0.17%)
6.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.0219 (+1.2568...+1.3006) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout15/1* eq: +1.2141 (-0.0646)
Player:
Opponent:
91.98% (G:40.79% B:0.39%)
8.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.0236 (+1.1905...+1.2377) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 19 seconds
3.Rollout13/2 3/Offeq: +1.1871 (-0.0916)
Player:
Opponent:
94.07% (G:31.95% B:1.04%)
5.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.0233 (+1.1638...+1.2104) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 23 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled.
Dice Seed: 5974299
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2012-Aug-05
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Flashcard PositionID 000664.xgp
Falafel versus Fogerlund, 2012 Pittsburgh Masters Final

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

The cubeless numbers say it all. Blue wins a gammon 44% of the time when he puts his opponent on the roof. Those 16 fanning numbers are big. When White is allowed to continue racing for home, Blue wins a gammon only 32% of the time. Either way, Blue wins the game 93-94% of the time.

Nice position, Timothy.

Mike

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