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Pure Race Question

Posted By: Giuliano Pietoso
Date: Tuesday, 23 October 2012, at 10:53 p.m.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 22
5 point match
pip: 25
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBBC----------a-------f--:1:1:1:00:1:1:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60,79% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 60,69% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39,21% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 39,31% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities +0,216 +0,634
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,582 (-0,051)
xg Redouble/Take:+0,634
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,366)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

In XG all race formulas point to NO REDOUBLE, yet this is a redouble/take (clearly because of adjusted take points vs winning/losing percentages).

My question: are there any rules of thumb or adjustments to the formulas that help clarifying these kind of positions where all race formulas fail?

Thanks.

PS: Maybe I'm using the Race Formulas feature in the wrong way. Please correct me if this is the case and forget my post.

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